Fantastic Ambition Of Japanese Renewable Targets

An editorial at Mainichi Shinbun (in Japanese) published on Sunday discusses the plans of the Japanese government for the electricity energy mix in 2030.

From that we learn that they want to achieve a whopping 22 to 24 percent from renewable energy (including hydro).

That’s more than nuclear, which is supposed to clock in at between 20 and 22 percent.

Out of those 22 to 24 percent renewable, an astounding 1.7 percent is supposed to come from wind power.

There are only about 15 years left until 2030. The Japanese government deserves a standing ovation for their ambitious and daring vision of increasing the present wind generation of 0.184 TWh for the fiscal year ending March 2013 (e.g. essentially zero percent) by a close to impossible  0.113 percent of demand per year on average.

That’s right. Not something reasonable, like 0.007 percent. They really want to shoot for 0.113.

The Mainichi editorial is not pleased with these numbers. They think the Japanese government should aim higher. So do Greenpeace and the Japanese Renewable Energy Foundation.

Actually, so do I.

And with solar and wind prices dropping faster than the IEA is able to keep track of, I for one would be rather surprised if the real numbers in 2030 don’t look quite a lot better than this particular plan.


Published by kflenz

Professor at Aoyama Gakuin University, Tokyo. Author of Lenz Blog (since 2003,

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