Do It Again, OPEC

OPEC is expected to reduce their production next year from 30 million to 29.5 million barrels a day at their next meeting in November, says Reuters. They cite OPEC Secretary General Abdallah Salem el-Badri for this expectation.

Already the news of a possible reduction in production has sent up oil prices to S99.05, from a previous 26 month low of $96.21. That’s an increase of $2.84.

Multiply with the 1.3 trillion barrels of world wide oil reserves, and we  understand that this announcement of a possible reduction next year made the oil owners richer by $3.692 trillion (the increase in the value of their reserves).

So what would happen if they did that again next year, and then for every year until 2020? Announce that they will reduce production by 500.000 barrels each year from 2015 to 2020.

How many trillions of dollars would the worth of their oil reserves go up with such a simple announcement?

The only way to find out would be to do it.



Published by kflenz

Professor at Aoyama Gakuin University, Tokyo. Author of Lenz Blog (since 2003,

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