Book Review: The Collapse of Western Civilization: A View from the Future

By Naomi Oreskes and Eric M. Conway. I bought the Kindle version because of this review by Joe Romm at Climate Progress.

I am not quite sure if this is fiction or not.

The basic premise is that in 2393 Chinese historians look back at how global warming has played out and why humanity was not able to solve the problem as long as that was still possible.

That idea appeals to me, since I wrote a novel about a Princess coming back in a time machine from the 24th Century to warn humanity of how horribly global warming has played out (and to solve the problem in the one week she has left to live as a side effect of time travel). It is called “Last Week”. A FREE PDF file is here.

In contrast, this book has no time machines in its plot. It also doesn’t have a plot, or a story, or main characters, or antagonists. I don’t think it qualifies as a novel.

Instead, it reads like a learned article reflecting on what exactly makes humanity miss the obvious need for drastic countermeasures. Much of it is documented with footnotes. If this is science fiction, it is more science as fiction.

But there is also a strong fictional element. The authors tell us how much degrees of global warming we end up with. And how China dealt with the problem of relocating 250 million people from their coast lines. And many other things in the future, which obviously are impossible to document exactly with a footnote. About one third of the book is speculation about what might happen.

The authors blame something they call the “carbon-combustion complex”, which is a parallel to the “military-industrial complex” term already well known.

They may be correct. If so, it would help to have the “carbon-combustion complex” on the other side, the side of the climate activists. That is easily done. All it takes is to realize that oil companies and other fossil fuel owners would realize massive profits from rising fossil fuel prices, and that of course a fast phase-out of fossil fuel means higher prices (less supply).

I am preaching this all the time on this blog under the name of Phaseout Profit Theory.

 

Published by kflenz

Professor at Aoyama Gakuin University, Tokyo. Author of Lenz Blog (since 2003, lenzblog.com).

One thought on “Book Review: The Collapse of Western Civilization: A View from the Future

  1. Professor, great review and thanks here and at FB group page. The book is not really a cli fi novel, more of hybrid cli fi, or as Naomi told me in email “hy-cli-fi.” It’s not fiction exactly, but it’s nonfiction mixed in with fiction and future predictions and warning for present day readers. Well done. Thanks for review here. – Dan at CLI FI CENTRAL

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