33.2 GW Of New Renewable In Japan

The Japanese Economics Ministry has released figures on the state of play on renewable energy in Japan under the new feed-in tariff. Some of it is good news. Thanks to this Tweet by Hiro Matsubara for the link.

The Japanese feed-in tariff system expects people to get a recognition (認定) before actually building capacity. That means there are two numbers to report. One is the amount of capacity that has received a recognition. The other one is the number of projects that actually have started delivering electricity.

The former number is substantially larger than the latter. The Ministry reports a total of 33.2 GW of installations that have received recognition. Most of that comes from solar, which is at about 31 GW in all. And most of that is from large-scale installations over 10 kW (28.7 GW), with projects over one MW contributing 16 GW.

In contrast, wind projects are still very weak. There are only about 0.97 GW of wind projects in the pipeline that have received recognition.

The capacity that has started delivering electricity in the 17 months since the feed-in tariff is in place is about 7.6 GW, with almost all of that (7.41 GW) coming from solar. 5.741 GW of that is non-residential solar.

That compares to an installed base of about 5.6 GW of solar before July 2012.

Wind is in very bad shape for the capacity that has started delivering. It is at only 0.074 GW over the 17 months, with a falling trend.

And Japan, with its great geothermal resources, has managed to deliver 0.001 GW of new geothermal from July 2012 to March 2013, and nothing in the time after that until January 2014.

So the good news is that solar is in good shape in Japan. But for everything else the feed-in tariff system has still completely failed to deliver any significant results.

Published by kflenz

Professor at Aoyama Gakuin University, Tokyo. Author of Lenz Blog (since 2003, lenzblog.com).

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